VotePredictor
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Georgia District 4 election, 2026

Hank Johnson vs. James Duffie.

VotePredictor forecast
Hank Johnson favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+57.9
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+52.0
2026 national environment
D+6.5
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Republican

James Duffie

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for GA-4. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for GA-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: GA-3 · GA-5