Democratic
Maura Keller
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Georgia District 3 election, 2026
Maura Keller vs. Brian Jack. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Brian Jack favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+17.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+30.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
1, averaging R+5.0Forecast spread
±6.1 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). The 1 district poll are blended in by inverse variance, about 39% of the weight: the model alone said R+25.4.
Republican
Brian Jack
Incumbent representative for GA-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstEach pollster name links to the poll's source; the grade under it is its VotePredictor grade from past elections. Margin is the poll as published. The ± under the sample size is the 95% margin of error on each candidate's share, from the sample size (the gap between them is about twice as uncertain).
PollsterDateSampleMargin
These polls move the forecast: their average is blended into the model's own margin by inverse variance, with about 39% of the weight on the polls (a single poll gets about half; more polls, more weight). The rule was preregistered and validated on 321 polled districts from 2018–2024. See methodology.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Brian JackREP · incumbent$2.4M raised
Spent $1.6MCash on hand $1.1MDebts $8k10% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- TEAM BRIAN JACK$375k
- WINKLEVOSS, TYLER$12k
- MODESETT, DAVID$10k
- HILL, VERNON$8k
- DETOLEDO, PHILIP$7k
Industries
- Retired$190k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$70k
- Retail, Food & Consumer Goods$66k
- Legal & Professional Services$59k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$48k
States
- GA$132k
- CA$96k
- VA$85k
- TX$63k
- IL$63k
Maura KellerDEM$247k raised
Spent $156kCash on hand $94kDebts $26k29% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$82k
- Retired$27k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$10k
- Not Reported$9k
- Legal & Professional Services$8k
States
- GA$138k
- NY$7k
- CA$7k
- MA$2k
- IL$2k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for GA-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Georgia's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Lawmakers Supporting Federal Film Tax Incentive Form Bipartisan Caucus
Six House members, including Brian Jack (R-Ga.) and Laura Friedman (D-Calif.), team up as they prepare to introduce their bill to Congress The post Lawmakers Supporting Federal Film Tax Incentive Form Bipartisan Caucus appeared first on TheWrap.
TheWrap · September 16, 2026
The first-term congressman leading the GOP’s midterm House campaign says Trump is intimately involved in recruitment decisions
Even though Republican Brian Jack is only a first-term congressman, he has become a regular in the Oval Office these days. As the top recruiter for his party’s House campaign team, the Georgia native is often reviewing polling and biographies of potential can…
Biztoc.com · December 14, 2025
Another blue wave? Meet the Democrat trying to make it happen and the Republican trying to stop her
Brian Jack is a first-term Republican congressman from Georgia, but he's become a key figure in the Oval Office
ABC News · December 14, 2025
CSAC holds hearing on Ali Act bill
On Tuesday at its monthly meeting, the California State Athletic Commission held open comment on the Muhammad Ali Boxing Revival Act. The comments were strongly against supporting the bi-partisan bill. As a result, the commission held off support for the bill…
Mmapayout.com · September 10, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗