Democratic
Paul Nolley
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Darin LaHood favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.6
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+22.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Darin LaHood
Incumbent representative for IL-16. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-16. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-16; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
‘Flattered!’ Republican’s rant backfires as Kaitlan Collins hits him with brutal supercut
A Texas Republican's attempt to bash CNN backfired spectacularly when Kaitlan Collins hit him with a devastating supercut smacking down his claims live on air.Brian Harrison, a Republican member of the Texas House of Representatives representing District 10, …
Raw Story · August 5, 2025
'Not my favorite': Republicans bristle as Trump again caves on TikTok ban
Republicans on Capitol Hill expressed disappointment on Friday that President Donald Trump one again punted on enforcing a ban on TikTok.This week marked the third deadline extension Trump has granted for TikTok's sale or ban since returning to office. The mo…
Raw Story · June 21, 2025
GOP Rep. LaHood: Can't Bail Out States Like Mine with High SALT Deduction
On Friday’s broadcast of Newsmax TV’s “The Record,” Rep. Darin LaHood (R-IL) stated that “we can’t be bailing out high-tax states like New York, California, Connecticut, New Jersey, even Illinois, my home state” by having a high SALT deduction, which The post…
Breitbart News · May 10, 2025
'How long can this go on?' Republican pressed after admitting Americans will feel 'pain'
Rep. Darin LaHood (R-IL) told CNN's Brianna Keilar that he isn't shocked that American automakers are hiking prices because President Donald Trump said that there would be "some short-term pain" as a result of his tariffs. LaHood committed to Trump's language…
Raw Story · May 7, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗