Democratic
Jennifer Todd
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Mary Miller favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+35.8
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+39.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Mary Miller
Incumbent representative for IL-15. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-15. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-15; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Moment head of top California medical school squirms when asked whether only women can get pregnant
The head of one the country’s top medical schools sparked outrage during a tense House hearing after refusing to say that only women can get pregnant. Dr. Sam Hawgood, chancellor of the University of California San Francisco, was pressed by Washington lawmake…
Freerepublic.com · July 16, 2026
NO MORE PRIDE? Congresswoman Ditches ‘Perverse’ Pride Month, Gives June a New Name
FIRST ON THE DAILY SIGNAL—Rep. Mary Miller, R-Ill., introduced a resolution to end the official celebration of Pride Month and rename June in honor of traditional families. Miller wants Congress to stop recognizing Pride Month and instead celebrate “the benef…
Daily Signal · June 3, 2026
The Anti-Abortion
Movement’s
Alarming Control
Tactics
One afternoon in March 2023, Jackie Noyola and Amy Carpenter were sitting in their favorite Houston bar, having a glass of wine, when their phones lit up with notifications of an identical email. It was from a law firm in Washington, D.C., and it was offering…
The New Republic · May 19, 2026
Meet Mary Miller: The New Face of GOP Censorship
When it comes to protecting children from sexual abuse and exploitation, Illinois Congresswoman Mary Miller is an odd choice for the job. The downstate Republican was first elected in 2020. During her 2022 reelection campaign, one of her employees was a man n…
Common Dreams · April 15, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗