VotePredictor
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Illinois District 15 election, 2026

Jennifer Todd vs. Mary Miller.

VotePredictor forecast
Mary Miller favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+40.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+39.8
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Jennifer Todd

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for IL-15. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for IL-15; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Belief in Action: Reps Mary Miller and Riley Moore Share How Faith Influences Their Lives

By MALIA LOOCK, The Daily Signal | September 18, 2026 U.S. Reps Mary Miller, R-Ill., and Riley Moore, R-W. W.Va., joined Heritage Foundation President Kevin Roberts on Tuesday to discuss their Christian faith and its influence on their work in Congress. The …

Biztoc.com · September 21, 2026
Belief in Action: Reps Mary Miller and Riley Moore Share How Faith Influences Their Lives

U.S. Reps Mary Miller, R-Ill., and Riley Moore, R-W. W.Va., joined Heritage Foundation President Kevin Roberts on Tuesday to discuss their Christian faith and its influence on their work in Congress.  The conversation about representing both Christianity and …

Daily Signal · September 18, 2026
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation

The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…

The New Republic · September 1, 2026
Moment head of top California medical school squirms when asked whether only women can get pregnant

The head of one the country’s top medical schools sparked outrage during a tense House hearing after refusing to say that only women can get pregnant. Dr. Sam Hawgood, chancellor of the University of California San Francisco, was pressed by Washington lawmake…

Freerepublic.com · July 16, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: IL-14 · IL-16