VotePredictor
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Louisiana District 1 election, 2026

Lauren Jewett vs. Republican nominee TBD on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Republican favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+41.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+39.0
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Lauren Jewett

Candidate currently listed in the 2026 field.

Republican

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed republican candidates: Randall Arrington, Steve Scalise.

Other listed candidates

  • Liddy Glass · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for LA-1. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for LA-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Louisiana's 1st district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: KY-6 · LA-2