VotePredictor
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Louisiana District 2 election, 2026

Democratic nominee TBD vs. Peter Williams on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →

VotePredictor forecast
Democrat favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+55.7
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+48.3
2026 national environment
D+8.0
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.2 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed democratic candidates: Troy Carter, Renada Collins.

Republican

Peter Williams

Candidate currently listed in the 2026 field.

Other listed candidates

  • Lisa Ballay · Libertarian
  • Walter Beach · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for LA-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Campaign money

FEC reports through October 14, 2026
Troy CarterDEM · incumbent$1.9M raised
Spent $1.8MCash on hand $630kDebts $25k9% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states

Industries

  1. Unemployed$41k
  2. Legal & Professional Services$32k
  3. Self-Employed & Freelance$31k
  4. Technology & Communications$30k
  5. Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$26k

States

  1. LA$176k
  2. DC$74k
  3. VA$47k
  4. FL$40k
  5. NY$29k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Lisa BallayLIB$1k raised
Spent $500Cash on hand $610Debts $19kSelf-funded $25
Top contributors, industries and states

States

  1. LA$500
  2. IL$250
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Peter WilliamsREP— raised
Spent —Cash on hand —

What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for LA-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: LA-1 · LA-3