Democratic
Stephen Lynch
Incumbent representative for MA-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Stephen Lynch favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+32.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+26.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Robert Burke
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Rasheed Walters · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MA-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MA-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Democratic Rep. Stephen Lynch defeats a younger challenger in Massachusetts primary - NBC News
Democratic Rep. Stephen Lynch defeats a younger challenger in Massachusetts primaryNBC News Tough primary season for incumbents reaches grand finale in Massachusettsthehill.com Stephen Lynch wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Massachusetts' 8th Cong…
Slashdot.org · September 2, 2026
Last House Democrat who voted against the ACA survives primary scare
Rep. Stephen Lynch, D-Mass., held off a well-funded primary challenger on Tuesday, extending a House career that began in 2001 and keeping in Congress the only remaining Democrat who voted against the Affordable Care Act. Lynch defeated challenger Patrick Roa…
Biztoc.com · September 2, 2026
Progressive push hits wall against conservative Democrat in deep-blue district
Stephen Lynch defeated progressive challenger Patrick Roath in the Massachusetts 8th Congressional District Democratic primary despite clashes over ICE.
Fox News · September 2, 2026
Stephen Lynch Defeats a Younger Challenger
“Rep. Stephen Lynch has defeated a younger, more progressive primary challenger, in the highest-profile test remaining for House incumbents after a turbulent primary season,” NBC News reports. “The 71-year-old incumbent won renomination over Patrick Roath, a …
Politicalwire.com · September 2, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗