Democratic
Rashida Tlaib
Incumbent representative for MI-12. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Rashida Tlaib favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+44.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+38.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
James Hooper
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Brenda K. Sanders · Green
- Marc J. Sosnowski · U.S. Taxpayers
- Gary Walkowicz · Working Class
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-12. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-12; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
"Bogus": Minnesota State Senator Zaynab Mohamed on DHS Raid on Rep. Ilhan Omar's D.C. Home
On Monday, federal agents from the Department of Homeland Security raided the Washington, D.C., home of Congressmember Ilhan Omar. Omar has faced years of racist targeting from President Trump over her ethnicity and immigrant background. She immigrated to the…
Democracy Now! · October 14, 2026
A Complete Timeline of Rep. Ilhan Omar’s Years-Long Beef with Trump and the GOP
Minnesota Rep. Ilhan Omar has never been one to bite her tongue, and President Donald Trump and his Republican allies have spent years giving her reasons not to. From attacks on her Somali heritage and Muslim faith to political battles on Capitol Hill and the…
The Root · October 14, 2026
Tlaib seeks to block Israeli defense firm’s Michigan facility
Rep. Rashida Tlaib urges Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer to stop an Israeli defense company from opening a $5 million facility in Sterling Heights.
Israelnationalnews.com · October 6, 2026
'We Don't Waste Our Time' With Courts, Says Trump, Bragging of Extrajudicial Murders in Pacific and Caribbean
Critics have often described President Donald Trump's campaign of boat strikes in the Caribbean and Pacific—which have taken the lives of at least 234 mostly unknown people—as extrajudicial killings that flout the very basics of due process.On Tuesday, Trump …
Common Dreams · September 23, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗