VotePredictor
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Michigan District 12 election, 2026

Rashida Tlaib vs. James Hooper.

VotePredictor forecast
Rashida Tlaib favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+38.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+40.8
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

James Hooper

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Brenda K. Sanders · Green
  • Marc Joseph Sosnowski · U.S. Taxpayers
  • Gary Walkowicz · Working Class

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-12. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-12; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: MI-11 · MI-13