VotePredictor
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Michigan District 13 election, 2026

Donavan McKinney vs. T. P. Nykoriak.

VotePredictor forecast
Donavan McKinney favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+47.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+41.0
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (open seat: none). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Donavan McKinney

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

T. P. Nykoriak

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Simone R. Coleman · Working Class
  • Chris Dardzinski · U.S. Taxpayers
  • Raelyn Light · Green

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-13. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-13; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: MI-12 · MI-2