Democratic
Christian Vukasovich
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Michigan District 5 election, 2026
Christian Vukasovich vs. Tim Walberg. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Tim Walberg favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+21.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+27.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Tim Walberg
Incumbent representative for MI-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Ronald A. Muszynski · Libertarian
- Sharon M. Renier · U.S. Taxpayers
- Jim Bronke · Green
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-5. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Tim WalbergREP · incumbent$2.2M raised
Spent $1.9MCash on hand $1.2M4% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$134k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$131k
- Education & Academia$59k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$59k
- Legal & Professional Services$32k
States
- MI$434k
- NY$100k
- FL$92k
- VA$84k
- AZ$58k
Christian VukasovichDEM$152k raised
Spent $112kCash on hand $40k31% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$36k
- Unemployed$30k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$10k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$5k
- Not Reported$750
States
- MI$81k
- IL$2k
- OH$1k
- OR$1k
- WA$600
Ronald A. MuszynskiLIB$1k raised
Spent $578Cash on hand $5720% from donors under $200Self-funded $1k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Husted co-sponsors bill to limit international student-athletes
WASHINGTON — U.S. Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, joined U.S. Rep. Tim Walberg, R-Michigan, on Tuesday in introducing the Training and Education for American Members in University Sports and Athletics Act. The bill would protect opportunities for American student-at…
LimaOhio.com · September 16, 2026
New House Republican attack will spur 'pain and suffering' for students: lawmaker
WASHINGTON — A major legislative package that would put into law President Donald Trump’s push to greatly reduce the responsibilities of the U.S. Department of Education advanced out of a U.S. House panel on Wednesday.The U.S. House Committee on Education and…
Raw Story · July 16, 2026
When We Fight, We Win: Why I Am Suing Northwestern University—and the US Government
Yesterday, I filed a lawsuit against Northwestern University and—in his official capacity as Chairman of the US House of Representatives House Committee on Education and the Workforce—Michigan Congressman Tim Walberg. The suit is also against various actors i…
Lithub.com · July 14, 2026
'MAGA's Weird Obsession' Continues as House Passes Bill Forcing Schools to 'Out' Trans Kids
The Republican-controlled US House of Representatives on Wednesday passed legislation that critics warn would force public schools receiving federal funding to "out" transgender students to their parents without or without their consent, a policy that advocat…
Common Dreams · May 21, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗