Democratic
Christian Vukasovich
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Tim Walberg favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+31.2
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+26.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Tim Walberg
Incumbent representative for MI-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Jim Bronke · Green
- Sharon Marie Renier · U.S. Taxpayers
- Ronald A Muszynski · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-5. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
New House Republican attack will spur 'pain and suffering' for students: lawmaker
WASHINGTON — A major legislative package that would put into law President Donald Trump’s push to greatly reduce the responsibilities of the U.S. Department of Education advanced out of a U.S. House panel on Wednesday.The U.S. House Committee on Education and…
Raw Story · July 16, 2026
When We Fight, We Win: Why I Am Suing Northwestern University—and the US Government
Yesterday, I filed a lawsuit against Northwestern University and—in his official capacity as Chairman of the US House of Representatives House Committee on Education and the Workforce—Michigan Congressman Tim Walberg. The suit is also against various actors i…
Lithub.com · July 14, 2026
'MAGA's Weird Obsession' Continues as House Passes Bill Forcing Schools to 'Out' Trans Kids
The Republican-controlled US House of Representatives on Wednesday passed legislation that critics warn would force public schools receiving federal funding to "out" transgender students to their parents without or without their consent, a policy that advocat…
Common Dreams · May 21, 2026
Meet Mary Miller: The New Face of GOP Censorship
When it comes to protecting children from sexual abuse and exploitation, Illinois Congresswoman Mary Miller is an odd choice for the job. The downstate Republican was first elected in 2020. During her 2022 reelection campaign, one of her employees was a man n…
Common Dreams · April 15, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗