VotePredictor
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Michigan District 6 election, 2026

Debbie Dingell vs. Heather Smiley.

VotePredictor forecast
Debbie Dingell favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+30.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+24.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Heather Smiley

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Michael Mickevicius · U.S. Taxpayers
  • Linda Rayburn · Working Class
  • Clyde Shabazz · Green
  • Timothy A. Tegan · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for MI-6. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for MI-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: MI-5 · MI-7