North Carolina District 10 election, 2026

Ashley Bell vs. Pat Harrigan on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast

Pat Harrigan favored

Safe R · predicted margin R+13.1

97%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

R+17.0

2026 national environment

D+5.5

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Ashley Bell

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Pat Harrigan

Incumbent representative for NC-10. Voting record, ideology and biography →

Other listed candidates

Steve Feldman · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-10. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-10; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Candidate news

US Lawmakers Want EU Punished Over Alleged Attacks on Big Tech

Sixteen members of Congress signed a letter asking President Donald Trump to take action in response to what they called European Union “discriminatory digital policies” that target technology companies in the United States. Rep. Pat Harrigan of North Carolin…

Biztoc.com · July 21, 2026

US Lawmakers Want EU Punished Over Alleged Attacks on Big Tech

pymnts.com · July 21, 2026

Troops’ phones gave away location data to foreign adversaries

Getting the location of troops at war might be as easy as buying the data from a legitimate business. America’s foreign adversaries have exploited commercial geolocation data tied to US troops, the Pentagon admits, using it to target or surveil US personnel i…

Freerepublic.com · May 31, 2026

Congressman Pat Harrigan wants to return North Carolina to the 1880s

Scapegoating cities for the flaws in America is a common trope in populist rhetoric that reveals little of the truth and few solutions for the suffering small town.

Ncspin.com · January 22, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: NC-1 · NC-11