Democratic
Don Davis
Incumbent representative for NC-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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North Carolina District 1 election, 2026
Don Davis vs. Laurie Buckhout on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Don Davis favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+3.5
70%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+11.62026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Laurie Buckhout
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Tom Bailey · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-1. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in North Carolina's 1st district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Trump rages at 'Evil Cause' sweeping America — but GOP senator leading the charge anyway
WASHINGTON — The rare 2026 issue that draws huge support from Republicans and Democrats in Congress is the same one that’s mobilized many Americans: restrictions on giant data centers.The House has overwhelmingly passed legislation forcing state regulators to…
Raw Story · Yesterday
Every Democrat Who Voted Against Impeaching Trump
House Democrats launched another Hail Mary bid to impeach President Donald Trump, but the effort was undercut by members of their own party.More than a dozen Democrats joined 213 Republicans in voting “no” Tuesday night. Another 46 Democrats simply voted “pre…
The New Republic · September 16, 2026
'Relieved of command': Republican candidate tells lying Democrats where to go
One Republican congressional candidate has told Democrats where to go after they failed to support working American families.Laurie Buckhout didn’t mince words as she left a stark message on the stage at the Republican Midterm Convention in Dallas Thursday: E…
TheBlaze · September 11, 2026
Dems kill Supreme Court constitutional amendment — keep DSA dream alive to abolish justices
WASHINGTON — House Democrats voted down a proposed constitutional amendment to lock in the number of justices on the Supreme Court at nine. The amendment failed in a 212-206 vote, far short of the two-thirds majority needed to get it through the lower chamber…
Freerepublic.com · September 3, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗