Democratic
Don Davis
Incumbent representative for NC-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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North Carolina District 1 election, 2026
Don Davis vs. Laurie Buckhout on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Laurie Buckhout favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+5.7
80%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+12.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Laurie Buckhout
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Tom Bailey · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
House approves long-awaited stock trading ‘ban’ — here’s who the largest traders are (ony 4.51 years left)
WASHINGTON — The House passed a sweeping set of restrictions on stock trades by lawmakers and their spouses that was paired with a voter ID provision that scared off many Democrats. The “Stop Insider Trading Act” cleared the House 232 to 198, with the full su…
Freerepublic.com · July 23, 2026
13 Dems Help House GOP Pass Stock Trading Ban That Includes Trump Attack on Voters
The US House of Representatives on Wednesday held a series of key votes, including one in which over a dozen Democrats helped Republicans pass a purported congressional stock trading ban, even though the GOP tacked on a voter suppression provision demanded by…
Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
And There's Always The Bezos Post
Okay I'm listening:Thirteen Democratic House members and candidates announced their support Thursday for a centrist initiative aimed at pushing back against the party’s tilt toward democratic socialism. And what is this initiative:Killin is one of the 13 who…
Eschatonblog.com · June 26, 2026
As Spying Renewal Stalls in Congress, Trump Pulls Plug on Pulte for DNI
After privacy advocates in Congress blocked proposed extensions of an expiring federal spying power on Thursday over a lack of reforms and concerns about newly appointed acting Director of National Intelligence Bill Pulte, President Donald Trump announced a d…
Common Dreams · June 11, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗