VotePredictor
← all House races

North Carolina District 12 election, 2026

Alma Adams vs. Jack Codiga on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Alma Adams favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+49.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+46.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Jack Codiga

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-12. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-12; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Inspired by Seattle Program, Jayapal Bill Would Help US Families Buy Fruits and Veggies

As Americans face rising grocery prices under President Donald Trump and rally behind progressive policies and primary candidates, US Rep. Pramila Jayapal on Thursday introduced a bill that shows what kind of proposals could become reality with more Democrats…

Common Dreams · July 2, 2026
House Ethics quietly probed NC Dem Alma Adams, 79, for alleged ‘inappropriate relationship’ with female staffer

WASHINGTON — A Democratic lawmaker was quietly investigated by the House Ethics Committee for allegedly pursuing an “inappropriate relationship” with a staffer — but the probe never substantiated the claims and was closed without releasing any public findings…

Freerepublic.com · April 23, 2026
The Ethics Committee Investigated Rep. Alma Adams for Alleged 'Inappropriate Relationship' With a Staffer (Kadia Goba/NOTUS)

Kadia Goba / NOTUS: The Ethics Committee Investigated Rep. Alma Adams for Alleged ‘Inappropriate Relationship’ With a Staffer  —  Several former aides to Adams, 79, say they were interviewed by the committee in 2023 about the North Carolina Democrat's relatio…

Memeorandum.com · April 23, 2026
'Darkest moments': NC's stunning lesson spurs stark warning for Texas Dems

GREENSBORO, N.C. — The Texas GOP’s hugely controversial push to draw five new U.S. House seats, thereby ejecting Democrats and protecting the Republican majority in Congress ahead of the 2026 midterms, has lit up national media amid high drama as Lone Star De…

Raw Story · August 14, 2025

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: NC-11 · NC-13