Democratic
Paul Barringer
Major-party general-election nominee.
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North Carolina District 13 election, 2026
Paul Barringer vs. Brad Knott on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Brad Knott favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+7.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+16.62026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Brad Knott
Incumbent representative for NC-13. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Steven Swinton · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-13. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Brad KnottREP · incumbent$1.7M raised
Spent $1.1MCash on hand $619kDebts $760k2% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$93k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$49k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$32k
- Legal & Professional Services$28k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$25k
States
- NC$361k
- VA$44k
- FL$30k
- DC$26k
- NY$21k
Paul BarringerDEM$1.2M raised
Spent $806kCash on hand $410kDebts $320k9% from donors under $200Self-funded $471k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$283k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$52k
- Legal & Professional Services$41k
- Education & Academia$9k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$8k
States
- NC$251k
- DC$114k
- MD$94k
- VA$36k
- CA$33k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-13; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in North Carolina's 13th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
This US House district was once a political battleground. Now it shows why Congress is dysfunctional
Partisan redistricting has sharply reduced competitive US House seats, allowing parties to reshape electoral maps in their favour. North Carolina's redrawn congressional district helped Republican Brad Knott win by a wide margin in 2024 after Democrat Wiley N…
The Times of India · October 25, 2026
This U.S. house district was once a political battleground. A new map changed that.
RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) — In 2022, Democrat Wiley Nickel ran as a moderate and narrowly won North Carolina’s 13th Congressional District by about 9,000 votes. Two years later, the current congressman, Republican Brad Knott, ran as a conservative and coasted into t…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 24, 2026
Trump staff supplied applause during 'overtly political' speech to silent service members
Donald Trump's appearance at Ft. Bragg military base in North Carolina on Friday was met with a muted response from attending service members that put local GOP officials and the president’s staff in the position of of having to show enthusiasm for his remark…
Raw Story · February 14, 2026
Jack Smith testifies his team believed they had "proof to charge other people" in 2020 election case
At a hearing on Thursday, Republican Rep. Brad Knott of North Carolina questioned former special counsel Jack Smith about the decision to charge only President Trump in the 2020 election case, rather than including others. Smith said he "was in the process of…
CBS News · January 22, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗