Democratic
Raymond Smith Jr.
Major-party general-election nominee.
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North Carolina District 3 election, 2026
Raymond Smith Jr. vs. Greg Murphy on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Greg Murphy favored
Likely R · predicted margin R+7.9
87%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+14.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Greg Murphy
Incumbent representative for NC-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Daniel Cavender · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-3. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
MAGA lawmaker accused of ‘borderline treason’ after siding with Dem’s foreign captors
Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) revealed Saturday that he had recently been detained by a group of armed Israeli settlers and military personnel earlier this week, and one MAGA lawmaker is sparking uproar after siding with Khanna’s captors over his own congressional …
Raw Story · July 11, 2026
House Panel Flags Maryland’s Mail Ballot ‘Error’
After Maryland announced an error within a massive shipment of more than 500,000 mail-in ballots, Rep. Greg Murphy had a one-word description. “Oops,” the North Carolina Republican said during a hearing Wednesday of the House Administration Subcommittee on El…
Daily Signal · May 20, 2026
REP. GREG MURPHY: Trump Is Right To Reinstate The Original, Merit-Based Presidential Fitness Test
As a urologist of over 35 years and the only practicing physician in Congress, I have seen firsthand the devastating decline of the health of America’s youth.
The Daily Caller · September 18, 2025
'Telling': House Republican shredded over 'sorry, not sorry' response to hearing witness
An MSNBC analyst flagged what he called a "revealing exchange" between a North Carolina Republican and a House hearing witness who said her vote has been put at risk by the GOP.House Republicans held a hearing on Tuesday focused on state voter roll purges and…
Raw Story · July 24, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗