Democratic
Raymond Smith Jr.
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all House races
North Carolina District 3 election, 2026
Raymond Smith Jr. vs. Greg Murphy on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Greg Murphy favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+16.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+13.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Greg Murphy
Incumbent representative for NC-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Daniel Cavender · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-3. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in North Carolina's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Bipartisan U.S. Congressional Visit Highlights Expanding Partnership with Kazakhstan
A bipartisan six-member delegation from the U.S. House of Representatives met with President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana on August 25, two days after Kazakhstan elected the first members of its new unicameral Kurultai. Tokayev called the timing symbolic a…
Freerepublic.com · August 27, 2026
MAGA lawmaker accused of ‘borderline treason’ after siding with Dem’s foreign captors
Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA) revealed Saturday that he had recently been detained by a group of armed Israeli settlers and military personnel earlier this week, and one MAGA lawmaker is sparking uproar after siding with Khanna’s captors over his own congressional …
Raw Story · July 11, 2026
House Panel Flags Maryland’s Mail Ballot ‘Error’
After Maryland announced an error within a massive shipment of more than 500,000 mail-in ballots, Rep. Greg Murphy had a one-word description. “Oops,” the North Carolina Republican said during a hearing Wednesday of the House Administration Subcommittee on El…
Daily Signal · May 20, 2026
REP. GREG MURPHY: Trump Is Right To Reinstate The Original, Merit-Based Presidential Fitness Test
As a urologist of over 35 years and the only practicing physician in Congress, I have seen firsthand the devastating decline of the health of America’s youth.
The Daily Caller · September 18, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗