Democratic
Valerie Foushee
Incumbent representative for NC-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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North Carolina District 4 election, 2026
Valerie Foushee vs. Max Ganorkar on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Valerie Foushee favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+55.7
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+46.12026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Max Ganorkar
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Guy Meilleur · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NC-4. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Valerie FousheeDEM · incumbent$1.0M raised
Spent $1.1MCash on hand $49k9% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$176k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$51k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$31k
- Technology & Communications$18k
- Education & Academia$16k
States
- NC$289k
- CA$28k
- DC$15k
- NY$11k
- MD$4k
Max GanorkarREP$19k raised
Spent $25kCash on hand $9k17% from donors under $200Self-funded $5k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NC-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in North Carolina's 4th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
The low-profile Democrat helping shape her party’s AI agenda
As Democrats scramble to create a viable plan to regulate artificial intelligence, one little-known lawmaker is playing a major behind-the-scenes role in shaping her party’s approach to the technology. Rep. Valerie Foushee, a North Carolina Democrat in her se…
Biztoc.com · October 2, 2026
'Stand With the People': Progressive Caucus Leader Calls on All Democrats to Reject AI Billionaire Cash
The chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus on Wednesday urged all Democrats to reject campaign cash from billionaires whose wealth stems from the artificial intelligence industry, following news that the president of OpenAI abandoned plans to donate mi…
Common Dreams · October 1, 2026
Dems urge tech CEOs to send 'rogue agents' reports
Democratic House representatives Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey, Valerie Foushee of North Carolina, and Ted Lieu of California called on the CEOs of OpenAI, Anthropic PBC, Google LLC, Meta Platforms In...
Biztoc.com · September 29, 2026
$4,000 Tariff Rebate Proposed for Americans: Who Could Get It
Representative Valerie Foushee, a North Carolina Democrat, has introduced legislation that would provide refundable tariff rebates worth up to $4,000 to eligible married couples, plus additional payments for dependents. The proposal arrives as debate continue…
Biztoc.com · September 21, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗