Democratic
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Incumbent representative for NY-14. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+38.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+37.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Diamant Hysenaj
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-14. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-14; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Knows She May Not Be Able to Win in 2028
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez may run for president in 2028 but she's fully aware that she may not be able to win. Ocasio-Cortez is a favorite to win the Democratic nomination for 2028, according to prediction markets, and polls well. However, polls…
Biztoc.com · Today
Senate roadblock opens a new fight over data centers and power bills
A bipartisan data center bill passed by the House earlier this week hit a roadblock in the Senate on Thursday, opening room for more debate among lawmakers over how far Congress should go to shield Americans from increased electricity costs associated with fa…
Yahoo Entertainment · September 18, 2026
"The Axios Show": Hasan Piker wants to campaign for AOC in 2028
Left-wing streamer Hasan Piker said he "absolutely" wants to campaign for New York Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez if she runs for president in 2028 and said he has talked with AOC and her team, he said in the new episode of "The Axios Show." Why it matters: Pi…
Biztoc.com · September 18, 2026
Jack Schlossberg Shares His Feelings About AOC amid Rumors His Friends Are Trying to Set Them Up
Jack Schlossberg insisted Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez "can do way better than me" as he was asked about rumors that his friends had been trying to set the pair up. "I respect her a lot," the politician, 33, told the New York Post. The congresswoman quietly split…
Freerepublic.com · September 17, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗