Democratic
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Incumbent representative for NY-14. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+45.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+37.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Diamant Hysenaj
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-14. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-14; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
AOC Moves Ahead of Gavin Newsom in Early 2028 Prediction Market Odds
Gotta love those prediction markets. The 2028 presidential race is still years away, but the betting action is already starting to tell its own story. Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has moved slightly ahead of California Gov. Gavin Newsom in one major predicti…
Freerepublic.com · Today
'As Toxic as AIPAC': Casar Urges Dems to Reject AI Industry Money and Protect Workers
Congressional Progressive Caucus Chair Greg Casar this week urged fellow Democrats to reject campaign support from artificial intelligence industry lobbyists and unveiled a bill intended to help protect workers from AI-related mass unemployment. The Texas con…
Common Dreams · Yesterday
'See You in November': Progressives Welcome the Fight as AIPAC Plots Round Two Against El-Sayed
After setting over $30 million on fire in Michigan's Democratic US Senate primary, the American Israel Public Affairs Committee is reportedly plotting round two against progressive epidemiologist Abdul El-Sayed—this time seeking to boost his Republican genera…
Common Dreams · August 6, 2026
DSA candidate Will Lawrence wins Dem nomination in battleground MI-7 district
The endorsement of Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vermont, likely assisted far-left Democratic candidate William Lawrence in his Tuesday night primary win in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District. The progressive will now face Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, R-Char…
Freerepublic.com · August 5, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗