Democratic
Ritchie Torres
Incumbent representative for NY-15. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Ritchie Torres favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+55.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+53.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Stylo Sapaskis
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Gonzalo Duran · Conservative
- Andre Easton · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-15. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-15; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
'As Toxic as AIPAC': Casar Urges Dems to Reject AI Industry Money and Protect Workers
Congressional Progressive Caucus Chair Greg Casar this week urged fellow Democrats to reject campaign support from artificial intelligence industry lobbyists and unveiled a bill intended to help protect workers from AI-related mass unemployment. The Texas con…
Common Dreams · Yesterday
How Popular Is Hakeem Jeffries Among Democrats?
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · August 5, 2026
A New Wave of Black Gay Candidates Could Make History in Congress
Elijah Manley, Florida State Sen. Shevrin Jones, and U.S. Rep. Ritchie Torres are Black openly gay candidates who could make history if elected to Congress in 2027.Read more...
The Root · June 16, 2026
Watchdog’s Online Tracker Shows Which Candidates Are Being Showered With AI Industry’s Dark Money
The artificial intelligence industry's super political action committees are dumping a heap of dark money into electing candidates from both parties to protect their interests on Capitol Hill amid growing public skepticism and backlash.On Wednesday, the progr…
Common Dreams · June 10, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗