VotePredictor
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New York District 5 election, 2026

Gregory Meeks vs. George Marsh.

VotePredictor forecast
Gregory Meeks favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+49.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+47.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

George Marsh

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-5. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

House Democrat Unveils Bill to Cut Off Funding for Trump's Iran War

A Democratic lawmaker in the US House of Representatives on Tuesday introduced legislation that would cut off funding for President Donald Trump's illegal war with Iran.In announcing the "No Funds for Illegal Wars Act," Rep. John Larson (D-Conn.) said that it…

Common Dreams · July 28, 2026
As Trump Ignores War Powers Votes, Groups Urge Congress to Sue to End Illegal Iran Assault

The US House of Representatives on Thursday passed a new war powers resolution aimed at forcing President Donald Trump to halt his illegal war with Iran without congressional authorization.But with Trump showing every indication that he plans to escalate his …

Common Dreams · July 23, 2026
As Trump Renews Assault on Iran, Dems Prepare Another War Powers Resolution

Democrats introduced another war powers resolution in the US House of Representatives on Wednesday that they hope will strengthen their efforts to stop President Donald Trump from continuing to escalate his war with Iran.Both houses of Congress already passed…

Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
GOP House Chair Scolds Dem Accusing Rubio of Not Testifying on Iran: ‘Probably Don’t Remember It Because You Missed Half’

Brian Mast scolded Gregory Meeks during a House hearing over the claim that Marco Rubio has avoided testifying before Congress on the Iran war. The post GOP House Chair Scolds Dem Accusing Rubio of Not Testifying on Iran: ‘Probably Don’t Remember It Because Y…

Mediaite · July 22, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: NY-4 · NY-6