Democratic
Laura Gillen
Incumbent representative for NY-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Laura Gillen favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+22.4
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+4.52026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Jeanine Driscoll
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Blay Tarnoff · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-4. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New York's 4th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Every Democrat Who Voted Against Impeaching Trump
House Democrats launched another Hail Mary bid to impeach President Donald Trump, but the effort was undercut by members of their own party.More than a dozen Democrats joined 213 Republicans in voting “no” Tuesday night. Another 46 Democrats simply voted “pre…
The New Republic · September 16, 2026
Dem Rep. Gillen on if She Wants DSA Nominees to Win: They'll Probably Win, Need to 'Hold Them in Line'
On Friday’s broadcast of NewsNation’s “The Hill,” Rep. Laura Gillen (D-NY) responded to a question on whether she wants the DSA candidates running as Democrats in New York to win their races by saying that they’ll likely win, “But I The post Dem Rep. Gillen o…
Breitbart News · September 5, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted to Defund Schools That Boycott Israel
On Thursday, 33 Democrats joined Republicans to pass a law that would take federal funding away from academic institutions involved in any kind of boycott of or divestment from Israel. The legislation passed 237–169.The Protect Economic and Academic Freedom A…
The New Republic · September 3, 2026
And There's Always The Bezos Post
Okay I'm listening:Thirteen Democratic House members and candidates announced their support Thursday for a centrist initiative aimed at pushing back against the party’s tilt toward democratic socialism. And what is this initiative:Killin is one of the 13 who…
Eschatonblog.com · June 26, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗