Democratic
Hakeem Jeffries
Incumbent representative for NY-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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New York District 8 election, 2026
Hakeem Jeffries vs. Lewis Mizrahi. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Hakeem Jeffries favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+51.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+44.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Lewis Mizrahi
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Hakeem JeffriesDEM · incumbent$17.9M raised
Spent $18.6MCash on hand $4.2M46% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$2.5M
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$251k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$202k
- Legal & Professional Services$97k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$82k
States
- CA$822k
- NY$474k
- DC$260k
- FL$189k
- TX$183k
Lewis MizrahiREP— raised
Spent —Cash on hand —
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
The New House Will Have Genuine Working-Class People. Will It Matter?
The 2026 midterms were a referendum on President Trump’s economy, but anyone who says that means only gas and grocery prices has misread the mood. From data centers to the Trump family raking in billions to the corruption at the center of the ballroom constru…
The New Republic · Today
Post-Midterms Report Stresses Economic Populism Propelled Democrats to Victory
Progressive Democrats' midterm victories from Maine to Michigan to Texas signaled that US voters are fed up with GOP officials bought by billionaires and want lawmakers in Congress who fight for the needs of everyday people—and a Data for Progress report rele…
Common Dreams · Today
The pipsqueaks revolting against Schumer and Jeffries need a slapdown
Various lefties in Congress are trying to stop Chuck Schumer and Hakeem Jeffries from leading the Senate and House: We hope the new leaders make the ankle-biters pay for their temerity.
New York Post · Today
America Swings Left. What Does It Mean for Democrats and 2028?
On the heels of a massive blue wave that swept more progressives and moderates into Congress, what’s next for the Democratic Party? How will the president respond to an emboldened Democratic majority on Capitol Hill? How will Hakeem Jeffries, who announced hi…
KQED · Today
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗