Democratic
Hakeem Jeffries
Incumbent representative for NY-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Hakeem Jeffries favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+49.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+47.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Lewis Mizrahi
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-8. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Trump's Immigration Policies Have Been Rejected; Why Won't Dems Act Like It?
With midterms approaching and the future of US.democracy balanced on a knife's edge, a media-driven moral panic about the Democratic Socialists of America is dividing the Democratic Party. That's unhelpful. Everyone knows Democrats need to unify under a big t…
Common Dreams · August 5, 2026
How Popular Is Hakeem Jeffries Among Democrats?
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · August 5, 2026
GOP leaders scramble as ‘national spectacle’ risks handing Dems major victories: report
Republican leaders are growing increasingly worried that allegations against two GOP House lawmakers may end up costing them in the midterm elections, Punchbowl News reported Wednesday.Those two House GOP lawmakers are Reps. Chuck Edwards (R-NC) and Max Mil…
Raw Story · August 5, 2026
Europe's Extreme Summer Shows the Climate Can't Be Hushed
The climate fight moves in stages. A decade ago, we got to the pledge stage. First, governments signed the Paris accords, and then, under pressure from Greta Thunberg’s movement, banks and corporations did the same. Leaders don’t mind making pledges; the hard…
Substack.com · August 3, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗