Democratic
Hakeem Jeffries
Incumbent representative for NY-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Hakeem Jeffries favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+50.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+44.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Lewis Mizrahi
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
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WASHINGTON (AP) — House Democrats are preparing an ambitious 100-days agenda focused on delivering their campaign promises — making life more affordable and conducting vast oversight of the Trump administration — if the party seizes majority control in next m…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 14, 2026
'May be a landmine': Analyst spots one issue that could crush Dems post-midterms
A political analyst spotted one issue that could crush the Democrats if they retake control of Congress after the midterms. Some Democrats have stated publicly that they plan to impeach President Donald Trump, and possibly other cabinet members, on the first …
Raw Story · October 12, 2026
Rep. Omar says she will 'not be silenced,' calls Fed search of her home an 'intimidation' campaign
WASHINGTON (AP) — Federal agents on Monday searched the home of Democratic U.S. Rep. Ilhan Omar, a startling escalation in a criminal investigation that brings renewed focus to the frequent target of Trump administration derision in the final weeks of her ree…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 12, 2026
The man who will likely be the next House speaker, explained
House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries speaks to the press on the steps of the US Capitol on September 30, 2026. | Finn Gomez/Getty Images Barring a catastrophic midterm polling miss, Democrats are on track to win a majority in the House of Representatives ne…
Biztoc.com · October 12, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗