Democratic
Yvette Clarke
Incumbent representative for NY-9. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Yvette Clarke favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+48.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+43.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Joel Azumah
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-9. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New York's 9th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
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The New Republic · September 11, 2026
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Common Dreams · August 13, 2026
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Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
'Huge Win for the Constitution' as House Finally Passes Iran War Powers Resolution
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Common Dreams · June 4, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗