Democratic
Maria Jukic
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Ohio District 14 election, 2026
Maria Jukic vs. David Joyce on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
David Joyce favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+12.3
96%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+21.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
David Joyce
Incumbent representative for OH-14. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OH-14. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OH-14; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Ohio’s 'Ghost Offices': Republicans Are Breaking Social Security
Last week, I visited three chronically understaffed Social Security “ghost offices” in Ohio. These are Social Security field offices with too few staff to meaningfully serve the local community. That means people have to wait months for an appointment, if the…
Common Dreams · April 28, 2026
'I really cant point to much': Republicans admit they got little accomplished in Congress
Republican lawmakers admitted 2025 was a legislative wasteland, with Congress setting a modern record for lowest output in a president's first year, but some attributed their inaction to a simple explanation: President Donald Trump did much of their work for …
Raw Story · December 24, 2025
Ex-Ohio Supreme Court Justice Bill O'Neill joins race for district held by GOP US Rep. David Joyce
Former Ohio Supreme Court Justice Bill O’Neill has announced plans to run for the northeast Ohio congressional seat held by Republican U.S. Rep. David Joyce
ABC News · June 25, 2025
'Screeching halt': House Republicans just axed major red state cash cow
WASHINGTON — Clean energy manufacturers and advocates say they’re perplexed how the repeal of tax credits in President Donald Trump’s “one big beautiful bill” will keep their domestic production lines humming across the United States, particularly in states t…
Raw Story · June 9, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗