VotePredictor
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Ohio District 9 election, 2026

Marcy Kaptur vs. Derek Merrin on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Derek Merrin favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+2.7
65%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+11.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Derek Merrin

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Matthew Althaus · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OH-9. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OH-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: OH-8 · OK-1