Democratic
Marcy Kaptur
Incumbent representative for OH-9. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Ohio District 9 election, 2026
Marcy Kaptur vs. Derek Merrin on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Marcy Kaptur favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+7.4
86%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+10.72026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Derek Merrin
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Matthew Althaus · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OH-9. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OH-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Some Democrats Are Breaking With Their Party On Trans Rights
A slew of Democratic candidates running in states and districts won by President Donald Trump are breaking with the party on transgender rights issues, especially on the question of allowing transgender girls to play school sports, often in the face of critic…
Freerepublic.com · September 20, 2026
Derek Merrin Draws Contrast With Marcy Kaptur: ‘Has Been In Congress Longer Than I’ve Been Alive’
By REBECCA DOWNS, The Daily Signal | September 10, 2026 Ohio was again represented at the Republican National Committee’s Midterm Convention as Ohio’s 9th Congressional District’s Republican nominee Derek Merrin spoke on Thursday. He fired up the crowd agains…
Biztoc.com · September 11, 2026
Derek Merrin Draws Contrast With Marcy Kaptur: ‘Has Been in Congress Longer Than I’ve Been Alive’
Ohio was again represented at the Republican National Committee’s Midterm Convention as Ohio’s 9th Congressional District’s Republican nominee Derek Merrin spoke on Thursday. He fired up the crowd against his opponent, Democrat Rep. Mary Kaptur. Toledo, locat…
Daily Signal · September 10, 2026
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗