Democratic
Zyon Khalifa
Major-party general-election nominee.
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South Carolina District 2 election, 2026
Zyon Khalifa vs. Joe Wilson. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Joe Wilson favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+7.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+14.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Joe Wilson
Incumbent representative for SC-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Dayna Alane Smith · Workers
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for SC-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Joe WilsonREP · incumbent$1.0M raised
Spent $924kCash on hand $137k8% from donors under $200Self-funded $200k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$65k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$50k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$22k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$12k
- Homemaker$9k
States
- SC$180k
- MD$41k
- CA$38k
- MI$33k
- FL$32k
Zyon KhalifaDEM$29k raised
Spent $22kCash on hand $7kDebts $2k55% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$2k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$2k
- Unemployed$1k
- Not Reported$1k
States
- SC$11k
- MI$600
- TX$500
- WA$455
- GA$305
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for SC-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in South Carolina's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
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Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗