Democratic
Courtney McClain
Major-party general-election nominee.
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South Carolina District 4 election, 2026
Courtney McClain vs. William Timmons. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
William Timmons favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.7
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+24.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
William Timmons
Incumbent representative for SC-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Jessica Ethridge · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for SC-4. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026William TimmonsREP · incumbent$1.8M raised
Spent $1.7MCash on hand $86k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $650k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$38k
- Retired$29k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$27k
- Legal & Professional Services$15k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$11k
States
- SC$112k
- VA$24k
- GA$22k
- DC$19k
- NY$19k
Courtney McClainDEM$131k raised
Spent $80kCash on hand $50k100% from donors under $200
Jessica EthridgeLIB$963 raised
Spent $483Cash on hand $48025% from donors under $200Self-funded $723
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for SC-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Republican: Darline Graham Is Qualified Because She Knows How To Balance A Checkbook
South Carolina Rep. William Timmons claimed on Newsmax that Darline Graham is highly qualified to be a US Senator because she balances her checkbook and waits in food lines. I kid you not. After Graham's massive cock-up on National Security during her debat…
Crooksandliars.com · August 25, 2026
Congressman Who Oversees Military Contracts Bought $100,000 in SpaceX Stock. He’s Not the Only One
The post Congressman Who Oversees Military Contracts Bought $100,000 in SpaceX Stock. He’s Not the Only One. appeared first on 24/7 Wall St.. Three days after SpaceX went public on June 12, 2026, Representative William Timmons IV picked up the phone and bough…
Biztoc.com · July 28, 2026
SpaceX stock-purchasing by Congress members fuels conflict concerns
Three days after SpaceX’s blockbuster public debut, Rep. William Timmons bought as much as $100,000 of the rocket company's stock. The South Carolina Republican chairs a House oversight panel on military and foreign affairs and sits on a financial services su…
Biztoc.com · July 28, 2026
Trump blindsides Republicans with rushed endorsement for Lindsey Graham's seat: report
President Donald Trump's endorsement of the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's sister, Darline Graham Nordone, to fill his South Carolina seat permanently caught the GOP flat-footed, as she had only been intended to be a caretaker appointment to serve out the remaind…
Raw Story · July 17, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗