VotePredictor
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South Carolina District 4 election, 2026

Courtney McClain vs. William Timmons.

VotePredictor forecast
William Timmons favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+18.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+24.0
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Courtney McClain

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Jessica Ethridge · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for SC-4. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for SC-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Republican: Darline Graham Is Qualified Because She Knows How To Balance A Checkbook

South Carolina Rep. William Timmons claimed on Newsmax that Darline Graham is highly qualified to be a US Senator because she balances her checkbook and waits in food lines. I kid you not. After Graham's massive cock-up on National Security during her debat…

Crooksandliars.com · August 25, 2026
Congressman Who Oversees Military Contracts Bought $100,000 in SpaceX Stock. He’s Not the Only One

The post Congressman Who Oversees Military Contracts Bought $100,000 in SpaceX Stock. He’s Not the Only One. appeared first on 24/7 Wall St.. Three days after SpaceX went public on June 12, 2026, Representative William Timmons IV picked up the phone and bough…

Biztoc.com · July 28, 2026
SpaceX stock-purchasing by Congress members fuels conflict concerns

Three days after SpaceX’s blockbuster public debut, Rep. William Timmons bought as much as $100,000 of the rocket company's stock. The South Carolina Republican chairs a House oversight panel on military and foreign affairs and sits on a financial services su…

Biztoc.com · July 28, 2026
Trump blindsides Republicans with rushed endorsement for Lindsey Graham's seat: report

President Donald Trump's endorsement of the late Sen. Lindsey Graham's sister, Darline Graham Nordone, to fill his South Carolina seat permanently caught the GOP flat-footed, as she had only been intended to be a caretaker appointment to serve out the remaind…

Raw Story · July 17, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: SC-3 · SC-5