South Carolina District 5 election, 2026

Mallory Dittmer vs. Wes Climer.

VotePredictor forecast

Wes Climer favored

Lean R · predicted margin R+6.1

81%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

R+21.8

2026 national environment

D+6.3

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Mallory Dittmer

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Wes Climer

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for SC-5. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for SC-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Past results

Every election in South Carolina's 5th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

2017Ralph Norman(R)R+3.1

2016Mick Mulvaney(R)R+20.5

2010Mick Mulvaney(R)R+10.3

2006John M. Spratt(D)D+13.8

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: SC-4 · SC-6