Democratic
Kristi Burke
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Diana Harshbarger favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+55.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+57.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Diana Harshbarger
Incumbent representative for TN-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Joshua Ashburn · Independent
- Richard Baker · Independent
- Chris Campbell · Independent
- Billy Cody · Independent
- Tyler McClain · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TN-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TN-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Trump pardons husband of Tennessee Rep. Diana Harshbarger
President Donald Trump has pardoned the husband of Republican congresswoman Diana Harshbarger of Tennessee. Robert Harshbarger Jr. was a licensed pharmacist when he pleaded guilty in 2013 to substituting a cheaper drug imported from China that was not approve…
Associated Press · November 11, 2025
Trump pardons the husband of Republican supporter Rep. Diana Harshbarger of Tennessee
A White House official said Harshbarger was a victim of “excessive prosecution."
Boston Herald · November 11, 2025
Trump pardons the husband of Republican supporter Rep. Diana Harshbarger of Tennessee
President Donald Trump has pardoned Tennessee Republican Rep. Diana Harshbarger's husband, who pleaded guilty more than a decade ago to health care fraud and...
Yahoo Entertainment · November 11, 2025
Trump quietly erases conviction of GOP lawmaker’s spouse
President Donald Trump reportedly pardoned the husband of a Tennessee House Republican who admitted to distributing misbranded kidney dialysis drugs and committing health care fraud.Robert Harshbarger Jr. pleaded guilty after prosecutors said he sold non-FDA-…
Raw Story · November 11, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗