Democratic
Victoria Broderick
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Tennessee District 4 election, 2026
Victoria Broderick vs. Scott DesJarlais on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Scott DesJarlais favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+18.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+24.32026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Scott DesJarlais
Incumbent representative for TN-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Jacob Anders · Independent
- Clay Faircloth · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TN-4. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TN-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Tennessee's 4th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
House Republicans Introduce Bill to Expel Palestinians From the Country
House Republicans have come up with yet another plan to kick brown people out of the country. On Thursday, Representative Ryan Zinke introduced a bill that would revoke the visas and refugee status of a number of Palestinians. The Safeguarding Americans From…
The New Republic · November 3, 2023
Compare Scott DesJarlais and Wayne Steele, Tennessee candidates for Congress, District 4
The general for Tennessee state and federal elections is Nov. 8. Early voting goes from Oct. 19 to Nov. 3.
Tennessean · October 31, 2022
Far-right Republicans trying to disenfranchise 'lame duck' Democrats from vote on critical budget bill
More than 50 House and Senate Republicans are joining in an effort to disenfranchise “lame duck” Democrats in the House and Senate to prevent them from voting on critical budget legislation, but not trying to apply the same standard to their fellow GOP lawmak…
AlterNet · September 19, 2022
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗