Democratic
Anna Golladay
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Tennessee District 3 election, 2026
Anna Golladay vs. Chuck Fleischmann on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Chuck Fleischmann favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+29.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+36.22026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Chuck Fleischmann
Incumbent representative for TN-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Dean Arnold · Independent
- Rodney Joe King · Independent
- Jean Howard-Hill · Independent
- Donnie Ownby · Independent
- Edward Roland · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TN-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Chuck FleischmannREP · incumbent$2.7M raised
Spent $1.1MCash on hand $4.9M0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Self-Employed & Freelance$153k
- Energy, Utilities & Mining$99k
- Legal & Professional Services$79k
- Retired$72k
- Homemaker$61k
States
- TN$809k
- VA$200k
- TX$138k
- CA$96k
- DC$69k
Anna GolladayDEM$165k raised
Spent $95kCash on hand $43k35% from donors under $200Self-funded $114
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$40k
- Retired$11k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$9k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$3k
- Retail, Food & Consumer Goods$2k
States
- TN$86k
- VA$4k
- TX$2k
- OR$2k
- GA$1k
Rodney Joe KingIND$8k raised
Spent $8kCash on hand $5Debts $7k1% from donors under $200Self-funded $7k
Top contributors, industries and states
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TN-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Tennessee's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
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Raw Story · May 22, 2026
Republicans shrug as 'socialist' Trump accusations fly
WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump has overseen an unprecedented melding of the private sector with the federal government — so much so that critics say it smells of socialism.Since Trump re-entered the White House, America has taken a stake in at least 10 p…
Raw Story · April 9, 2026
Rep. Fleischmann said he voted to keep Canadian tariffs to support Trump | Chattanooga Times Free Press
Despite acknowledging the financial impact of tariffs on Tennessee farmers, U.S. Rep. Chuck Fleischmann, R-Ooltewah, said he didn't join the six Republicans who voted to repeal Canadian tariffs because he wanted to give President Donald Trump as much support …
Chattanooga Times Free Press · February 18, 2026
For U.S. nuclear energy future, fuel supply cannot be overlooked
Stanford CA (SPX) Jan 08, 2026 - The vision of a U.S. nuclear power renaissance has a blind spot - uranium fuel - in the near term and long, according to a Stanford University-led industry meeting. AI data centers, reshoring of manufacturing, and the electri…
Space Daily · January 13, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗