Democratic
Heidi Kuhn
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Tennessee District 8 election, 2026
Heidi Kuhn vs. David Kustoff on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
David Kustoff favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+14.2
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+20.42026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
David Kustoff
Incumbent representative for TN-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Pamela Moses · Independent
- Horace Taylor · Independent
- Adam Austill · Independent
- Wells Blankenship · Independent
- Antonio Futch · Independent
- Henry Ward III · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TN-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026David KustoffREP · incumbent$2.6M raised
Spent $1.9MCash on hand $2.7MDebts $117k0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$166k
- Retired$100k
- Legal & Professional Services$73k
- Homemaker$59k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$45k
States
- TN$843k
- NY$88k
- DC$46k
- VA$45k
- MD$32k
Heidi KuhnDEM$112k raised
Spent $106kCash on hand $7k18% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Self-Employed & Freelance$14k
- Retired$10k
- Unemployed$6k
- Energy, Utilities & Mining$1k
- Not Reported$900
States
- TN$70k
- GA$1k
- FL$625
- AL$250
- CA$250
Horace TaylorIND$8k raised
Spent $8kCash on hand $1459% from donors under $200Self-funded $6k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- TAYLOR, HORACE MR.$6k
- TAYLOR, HORACE$500
- TAYLOR, JEROME$500
- DEAN, DERRICK$320
Industries
- Retired$320
States
- TN$820
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TN-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Tennessee's 8th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
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