Democratic
Christian Menefee
Incumbent representative for TX-18. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Texas District 18 election, 2026
Christian Menefee vs. Ronald Whitfield on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Christian Menefee favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+61.7
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+55.72026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Ronald Whitfield
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-18. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-18; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
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Raw Story · October 2, 2026
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Common Dreams · September 21, 2026
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The New Republic · July 10, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗