Democratic
Christian Menefee
Incumbent representative for TX-18. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Texas District 18 election, 2026
Christian Menefee vs. Ronald Whitfield on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Christian Menefee favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+68.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+54.92026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Ronald Whitfield
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-18. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-18; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Transcript: Texas ICE Killing Darkens as MAGA Judges Turn on Trump
The following is a lightly edited transcript of the July 10 episode of the Daily Blast podcast. Listen to it here.Greg Sargent: This is The Daily Blast from The New Republic, produced and presented by the DSR Network. I’m your host, Greg Sargent.A 52-year-old…
The New Republic · July 10, 2026
ICE Is Hoping You Won’t Notice the Man Agents Killed In Texas
On Tuesday morning in Houston, an ICE agent shot and killed a man on his way to work. Lorenzo Salgado Araujo had lived in the United States for nearly 35 years. With him that morning were his brother and two men who worked on Araujo’s construction crew. At th…
The New Republic · July 9, 2026
Texas Democrat’s congressional win is a generational shift backed by cryptocurrency
Christian Menefee, 38, unseated Al Green, 78, after Texas Republicans combined their districts into one.
Salon · June 7, 2026
Rep. Christian Menefee on win over Rep. Al Green in Texas primary for redrawn House seat
Rep. Christian Menefee speaks with Major Garrett about his win over Rep. Al Green in Tuesday's Democratic primary for Texas' redrawn 18th Congressional District
CBS News · May 28, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗