Democratic
Joaquin Castro
Incumbent representative for TX-20. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Texas District 20 election, 2026
Joaquin Castro vs. Edgardo Rafael Baez on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Joaquin Castro favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+33.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+28.92026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Edgardo Rafael Baez
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-20. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-20; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Austin Man Shot by ICE Facing Paralysis After Being Refused Medical Care
Democrats in Congress on Monday evening were demanding a full, independent investigation into US Immigration and Customs Enforcement's shooting on Sunday of Wilber Rafael Garces Perez, as it was reported that he had been held in an ICE detention center with a…
Common Dreams · Today
Where the Hell Is the Oil Money Trump Stole From the People of Venezuela?
At any other time in American history, it would end the career of somebody like Scott Bessent, our limited-intelligence Treasury Secretary. It came out yesterday when Illinois Congressman Sean Casten was questioning him about the “billions of dollars” that Tr…
Common Dreams · September 18, 2026
Progressive Democrats Urge US to Join Ban on Products From Illegal Israeli Settlements
As the UK, Canada, and France enact bans on goods from illegal Israeli settlements, some progressive Democrats are calling for the US to join the effort to sanction the escalating wave of state-backed settler terrorism against Palestinians in the West Bank."F…
Common Dreams · September 9, 2026
Democrats Attack Trump’s Venezuela Imperialism... From the Right!
On Friday, the Trump administration announced a “deal ” handing the United States 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan crude oil, roughly a fifth of the country’s total reserves (the largest on Earth), on leases running up to 100 years. They would give $200 bi…
Common Dreams · September 4, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗