Democratic
Joaquin Castro
Incumbent representative for TX-20. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Texas District 20 election, 2026
Joaquin Castro vs. Edgardo Rafael Baez on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Joaquin Castro favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+24.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+28.52026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Edgardo Rafael Baez
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-20. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-20; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
ICE Is Building a Massive DNA Database
The Department of Homeland Security has drastically ramped up efforts to add DNA from nearly one million immigrants to a massive criminal database. Most of them have no criminal history; some of them are kids. In 2025, Immigration and Customs Enforcement adde…
The New Republic · August 3, 2026
'Bigotry' as Government Policy: Trump Orders ICE to Ramp Up Arrests of Haitians
Mass arrests of Haitian immigrants by federal agents could begin as early as this week, according to federal documents regarding President Donald Trump's new directive to US Immigration and Customs Enforcement following the right-wing majority on the Supreme …
Common Dreams · July 27, 2026
Rep. Castro Urges Oversight of Erik Prince’s ‘Drone War’ in Haiti as Trump Pentagon Pushes for Closer Ties
A Democratic congressman said he is ramping up oversight as the Trump administration plans to strengthen its ties to a private military contractor in Haiti run by the president's close ally Erik Prince, which has conducted drone strikes that have killed dozen…
Common Dreams · July 22, 2026
What Did Trump Do With the Billions He Collected From Venezuelan Oil?
The Trump administration has raked in about $13 billion after taking over Venezuela’s oil exports in the wake of its kidnapping of President Nicolás Maduro, according to a Financial Times analysis. But six months later, and one month after two devastating ear…
The New Republic · July 22, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗