VotePredictor
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Texas District 26 election, 2026

Steven Shook vs. Brandon Gill on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Brandon Gill favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+18.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+24.1
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Steven Shook

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Phil Gray · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-26. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-26; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Trump's bizarre Biden punchline met with silence at Texas rally: 'He could never!'

President Donald Trump uncorked a bizarre dig at former President Joe Biden during a campaign rally Thursday. Trump stopped by the Peterbilt truck assembly factory in Denton, Texas, to stump for local Republicans like Rep. Brandon Gill (R-TX), Sen. Ted Cruz (…

Raw Story · October 1, 2026
How the Smithsonian became the latest front in Trump’s culture war

In November 2021, the Smithsonian’s National Museum of American History opened an exhibit called “The Electric Dr. Franklin,” describing “Benjamin Franklin’s pioneering contributions to electrical science.” The exhibit explained that, prior to becoming an abo…

Raw Story · September 24, 2026
'Talarico votes like AOC': Rep. Gill drops savage ad targeting Dem nominee | Texas Senate race

Sep 20, 2026 #BrandonGill #JamesTalarico #KenPaxton Republicans launched a new ad attacking Democratic Senate nominee for Texas James Talarico, featuring a much younger face than that of GOP nominee Ken Paxton, who recently drew the mockery of President Donal…

Freerepublic.com · September 20, 2026
'Talarico votes like AOC': Rep. Gill drops savage ad targeting Dem nominee | Texas Senate race

Sep 20, 2026 #BrandonGill #JamesTalarico #KenPaxton Republicans launched a new ad attacking Democratic Senate nominee for Texas James Talarico, featuring a much younger face than that of GOP nominee Ken Paxton, who recently drew the mockery of President Donal…

Freerepublic.com · September 20, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: TX-25 · TX-27