Democratic
Steven Shook
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Texas District 26 election, 2026
Steven Shook vs. Brandon Gill on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Brandon Gill favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+17.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+24.12026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Brandon Gill
Incumbent representative for TX-26. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Phil Gray · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-26. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Brandon GillREP · incumbent$7.9M raised
Spent $6.0MCash on hand $2.1MDebts $96k51% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- BRANDON GILL VICTORY FUND$399k
- REES-JONES, TREVOR D$14k
- BLAKE, GARY$13k
- SULLIVAN, HOLLIS$12k
- MORRIS, RYAN$10k
Industries
- Retired$1.8M
- Self-Employed & Freelance$116k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$41k
- Not Reported$28k
- Legal & Professional Services$25k
States
- TX$743k
- FL$291k
- CA$261k
- VA$86k
- NY$76k
Steven ShookDEM$36k raised
Spent $30kCash on hand $6k51% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$4k
- Unemployed$3k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$1k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$500
States
- TX$17k
- AR$500
- MA$500
- NH$500
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-26; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Scoop: Some Freedom Caucus members want Brandon Gill out
A small group of Rep. Brandon Gill's fellow House Freedom Caucus members are privately questioning whether he still belongs in the hardline group, Axios has learned. Why it matters: The 32-year-old Texas freshman's rapid rise through House Republican ranks ha…
Biztoc.com · October 22, 2026
GOP Rep. Gill: Talarico Takes Scripture and Contorts It in a Way Offensive to Almost Every Bible-Believing Christian
On Monday, during an appearance on Fox News Channel's "The Ingraham Angle," Rep. Brandon Gill (R-TX) questioned efforts by Texas Democrat U.S. Senate nominee James Talarico to moderate his liberal image in his campaign ads, including using football and his fa…
Breitbart News · October 20, 2026
Trump's bizarre Biden punchline met with silence at Texas rally: 'He could never!'
President Donald Trump uncorked a bizarre dig at former President Joe Biden during a campaign rally Thursday. Trump stopped by the Peterbilt truck assembly factory in Denton, Texas, to stump for local Republicans like Rep. Brandon Gill (R-TX), Sen. Ted Cruz (…
Raw Story · October 1, 2026
How the Smithsonian became the latest front in Trump’s culture war
In November 2021, the Smithsonian’s National Museum of American History opened an exhibit called “The Electric Dr. Franklin,” describing “Benjamin Franklin’s pioneering contributions to electrical science.” The exhibit explained that, prior to becoming an abo…
Raw Story · September 24, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗