VotePredictor
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Texas District 26 election, 2026

Steven Shook vs. Brandon Gill on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Brandon Gill favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+28.1
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+24.1
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Steven Shook

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Phil Gray · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-26. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-26; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

'Talarico votes like AOC': Rep. Gill drops savage ad targeting Dem nominee | Texas Senate race

Sep 20, 2026 #BrandonGill #JamesTalarico #KenPaxton Republicans launched a new ad attacking Democratic Senate nominee for Texas James Talarico, featuring a much younger face than that of GOP nominee Ken Paxton, who recently drew the mockery of President Donal…

Freerepublic.com · September 20, 2026
'Talarico votes like AOC': Rep. Gill drops savage ad targeting Dem nominee | Texas Senate race

Sep 20, 2026 #BrandonGill #JamesTalarico #KenPaxton Republicans launched a new ad attacking Democratic Senate nominee for Texas James Talarico, featuring a much younger face than that of GOP nominee Ken Paxton, who recently drew the mockery of President Donal…

Freerepublic.com · September 20, 2026
I’ve Covered Islamophobia For Years. Trump’s GOP Has Taken It to a New Level.

What do Republican officials think of the nation’s roughly 4.5 million Muslims? No need to ask—they’ll just tell you. “Muslims don’t belong in American society,” says Rep. Andy Ogles of Tennessee.  “No more Muslims immigrating to America,” says Rep. Brandon G…

Mother Jones · September 11, 2026
Gill Blasts Talarico’s Christian Beliefs In Scathing Republican Convention Speech

By PEDRO RODRIGUEZ, The Daily Signal | September 09, 2026 Texas Republican Rep. Brandon Gill blasted his state’s Democrat Senate candidate James Talarico for claiming to be a Christian while embracing a left-wing ideology Gill believes is hostile to the faith…

Biztoc.com · September 10, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: TX-25 · TX-27