Democratic
Dione Sims
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Texas District 25 election, 2026
Dione Sims vs. Roger Williams on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Roger Williams favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+15.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+24.32026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Roger Williams
Incumbent representative for TX-25. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-25. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-25; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
WATCH: Animals predicting the Super Bowl
A tree kangaroo at the Roger Williams Zoo in Rhode Island picked the Patriots, while Puerto Rican crested toads in Texas and a tarantula at Brookfield Zoo chose the Seahawks.
ABC News · February 7, 2026
MAGA’s Crackdown on Dissent Started With Pro-Palestinian Activists. It Didn’t End There.
Two days after an ICE agent shot and killed Renée Good in Minneapolis, Rep. Roger Williams issued an ultimatum to the Trump administration’s critics in Minnesota and beyond. “People need to quit demonstrating, quit yelling at law enforcement, challenging law …
Mother Jones · January 11, 2026
Texas Republican Yells At Cloud
It was only a matter of time before something happened after the Trump administration launched what officials described as the largest federal immigration enforcement operation ever, deploying as many as 2,000 federal agents and officers to the Minneapolis ar…
Crooksandliars.com · January 9, 2026
'Feels like defeat': Trump's crackdown forces pastor in deep red county to self-deport
A Texas pastor decided to self-deport to Brazil after facing significant delays with his visa application because of President Donald Trump's new immigration policies, according to a new report. Albert Oliveira, along with his wife and three-year-old son, mov…
Raw Story · November 12, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗