Democratic
Vicente Gonzalez
Incumbent representative for TX-34. Voting record, ideology and biography →
← all House races
Texas District 34 election, 2026
Vicente Gonzalez vs. Eric Flores on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Vicente Gonzalez favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+3.9
71%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+10.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Eric Flores
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Eddie Espinoza · Green
- Chris Royal · Libertarian
Polls
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMargin
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center2026-07-30D+3.0
Shown for context. The forecast above is fundamentals-only and does not use these polls: tested against 2016–2024, a poll-driven rule beat fundamentals only because of a single wave cycle and reversed without it. See methodology.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-34; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Republican Nominee in Texas Using Trump’s $5,000 Promise to Deceive Voters
Eric Flores is an Army veteran and lawyer running to unseat Democratic Rep. Vicente Gonzalez in Texas District 34. The post Republican Nominee in Texas Using Trump’s $5,000 Promise to Deceive Voters appeared first on The American Prospect.
The American Prospect · September 17, 2026
Humiliated GOP reveals secret hope for 'embarrassing' convention: 'Hope no one watches'
Republicans arriving in Dallas for President Donald Trump's midterm convention are describing an atmosphere far removed from the triumphant spectacle organizers had planned, with candidates increasingly distancing themselves from the president over fears he c…
Raw Story · September 9, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted to Defund Schools That Boycott Israel
On Thursday, 33 Democrats joined Republicans to pass a law that would take federal funding away from academic institutions involved in any kind of boycott of or divestment from Israel. The legislation passed 237–169.The Protect Economic and Academic Freedom A…
The New Republic · September 3, 2026
Who Are the Democrats Who Joined Republicans to Condemn Socialism?
Eight Democrats defied their party and voted with Republicans to condemn socialism. Their names – and the politics behind their votes – stand out. The House passed the Republican-led resolution 220-192, with Republicans joined by eight Democrats. Two addit…
The Root · September 2, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗