Democratic
Chelsey Hockett
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all House races
Texas District 5 election, 2026
Chelsey Hockett vs. Lance Gooden on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Lance Gooden favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+29.1
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+21.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Lance Gooden
Incumbent representative for TX-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-5. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Texas's 5th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Trump ally target of 'bogus' ethics investigation blames friendship with the president
Texas Representative Lance Gooden is facing an ethics review after the House Ethics Committee announced Monday that it is investigating a matter involving the congressman.
Dailymail.com · July 27, 2026
Yet Another Republican Congressman Is Under House Ethics Investigation
The House Ethics Committee is investigating Texas Republican Representative Lance Gooden. The scope of the probe is unclear at this time. The committee said it received a referral from the Office of Congressional Conduct last month.“The Committee notes that t…
The New Republic · July 27, 2026
Texas Republican is under House Ethics investigation
The House Ethics Committee said in a statement Monday it is investigating Rep. Lance Gooden, a four-term Texas Republican. It’s unclear what the committee is probing, but the Office of Congressional Conduct, an independent investigative branch of the House, …
Biztoc.com · July 27, 2026
Lawmakers Move to Create Federal Task Force Against Crypto Theft
A bill introduced Thursday (June 11) in the U.S. House would create a federal task force to combat crypto theft and support victims. The Federal Cryptocurrency Theft Enforcement and Coordination Act was introduced by Reps. Lance Gooden, R-Texas, and Josh Gott…
pymnts.com · June 11, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗