VotePredictor
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Texas District 8 election, 2026

Laura Jones vs. Jessica Steinmann on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →

VotePredictor forecast
Jessica Steinmann favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+20.6
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+28.0
2026 national environment
D+8.0
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±6.6 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (open seat: none). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Laura Jones

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Jessica Steinmann

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Campaign money

FEC reports through October 14, 2026
Jessica SteinmannREP$2.4M raised
Spent $2.4MCash on hand $79kDebts $200k3% from donors under $200Self-funded $650k
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. STEINMANN, JESSICA HART$650k
  2. JESSICA STEINMANN VICTORY FUND$355k
  3. GOP WINNING WOMEN 2026$65k
  4. WINNING EDGE FUND$11k
  5. AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE$10k

Industries

  1. Retired$201k
  2. Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$53k
  3. Self-Employed & Freelance$38k
  4. Energy, Utilities & Mining$35k
  5. Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$15k

States

  1. TX$605k
  2. FL$57k
  3. VA$33k
  4. NY$32k
  5. CA$16k
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗
Laura JonesDEM$31k raised
Spent $29kCash on hand $4kDebts $2k33% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states

Contributors

  1. JENKINS, GALE$3k
  2. DONNELLY, MARIAN$3k
  3. MOORE, LINDA$1k
  4. HESSEL, PATRICIA$750
  5. MYERS, COURTNEY$684

Industries

  1. Unemployed$11k
  2. Retired$3k
  3. Self-Employed & Freelance$700
  4. Energy, Utilities & Mining$250

States

  1. TX$15k
  2. CA$500
  3. MA$500
  4. RI$260
Every contribution on GovMoneyGraph ↗

What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report
View House ratings ↗
Inside Elections
View House ratings ↗
Sabato's Crystal Ball
View House analysis ↗

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: TX-7 · TX-9