Democratic
Emily Randall
Incumbent representative for WA-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
← all House races
Washington District 6 election, 2026
Emily Randall vs. Teresa Fox. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Emily Randall favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+27.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+19.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Teresa Fox
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WA-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Emily RandallDEM · incumbent$1.4M raised
Spent $1.3MCash on hand $169k19% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$401k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$36k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$26k
- Technology & Communications$20k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$12k
States
- WA$567k
- DC$26k
- NY$21k
- CA$13k
- MD$12k
Teresa FoxREP$71k raised
Spent $60kCash on hand $11kDebts $11k22% from donors under $200Self-funded $9k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$26k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$510
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$500
States
- WA$31k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WA-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Washington's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Emily Randall, first LGBTQ+ Latina in Congress, wins reelection in Washington
Democratic Rep. Emily Randall, who made history in 2024 as the first openly LGBTQ+ Latina elected to Congress, has won reelection in Washington’s 6th Congressional District, securing a second term in the House of Representatives.
Advocate.com · November 4, 2026
How Do You Stop Election Tampering Before It Happens?
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonHow do you stop election tampering before it happens?A potential crisis was averte…
The New Republic · September 22, 2026
Hannah Sabio-Howell is Challenging Sen. Jamie Pedersen in the 43rd District
Sabio-Howell’s pitch is this: Sen. Pedersen is quick to concede to big business before the politicking has even begun, and a corporate-friendly incrementalist like him had no business representing a district of progressive renters like the 43rd. by Vivian …
TheStranger.com · March 9, 2026
Tim Walz Mocks Trump's Obsession: 'No Somali Folks In Epstein Files'
During the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee on alleged misuse of federal funds in Minnesota, Gov Walz blasted Trump's obsession with the state, brought up the Epstein files, and bashed him for political retribution by cutting off much-needed fe…
Crooksandliars.com · March 5, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗