Alabama District 1 election, 2026

Clyde Jones Jr. vs. Jerry Carl on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast

Jerry Carl favored

Safe R · predicted margin R+43.2

100%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

R+36.4

2026 national environment

D+6.3

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Clyde Jones Jr.

Major-party general-election nominee.

Republican

Jerry Carl

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AL-1. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AL-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: AK-1 · AL-2