Alaska District 1 election, 2026

Democratic nominee TBD vs. Republican nominee TBD.

VotePredictor forecast

Republican favored

Lean R · predicted margin R+7.0

84%

chance to win

2024 presidential lean

R+12.2

2026 national environment

D+5.5

Model uncertainty

±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed democratic candidates: Eric Hafner, Yaquelin Reynoso, John Williams.

Republican

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed republican candidates: Nick Begich III, Eddie Goldfarb, Clay Strickland.

Other listed candidates

David Ambrose II · Independent
Lady Donna Dutchess · Independent
John Foddrill · Libertarian
Bill Hill · Independent
Jim McDermott · Libertarian
David Richey · Independent
Bronco Williams · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AK-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AK-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Cook Political Report

View House ratings ↗

Inside Elections

View House ratings ↗

Sabato's Crystal Ball

View House analysis ↗

Candidate news

No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: AL-1