Democratic
Lee McInnis
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Alabama District 3 election, 2026
Lee McInnis vs. Mike Rogers on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Mike Rogers favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+39.7
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+47.12026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Mike Rogers
Incumbent representative for AL-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AL-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Mike RogersREP · incumbent$2.5M raised
Spent $1.7MCash on hand $2.7M0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$153k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$127k
- Defense & Aerospace$104k
- Legal & Professional Services$84k
- Technology & Communications$74k
States
- AL$478k
- CA$202k
- FL$139k
- NY$138k
- VA$123k
Lee McInnisDEM$63k raised
Spent $29kCash on hand $41k29% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$12k
- Unemployed$8k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$5k
- Not Reported$4k
- Education & Academia$425
States
- AL$40k
- GA$400
- LA$250
- NC$250
- NM$200
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AL-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
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