Democratic
Lee McInnis
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Alabama District 3 election, 2026
Lee McInnis vs. Mike Rogers on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Mike Rogers favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+41.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+47.12026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Mike Rogers
Incumbent representative for AL-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AL-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AL-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
‘Deep State Grift’: Mike Rogers’ Wealth Soared as Wife’s Private Military Firm Won Billion-Dollar Contracts
Former US Rep. Mike Rogers, the Republican Senate candidate in Michigan, saw his personal wealth soar after he was named chair of the House Intelligence Committee in 2011, thanks in large part to his marriage to the CEO of a powerful military contracting firm…
Common Dreams · October 14, 2026
Will Republicans or Democrats win the Senate? These key midterm races will decide.
Control of both chambers of Congress is up for grabs in November's election. But as important as the House of Representatives is, all signs point to the true drama of the midterms being in the battle for the Senate. There are 35 Senate seats on the ballot thi…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 13, 2026
Trump's midterm challenge grows as gas prices rise and his approval falls
[BBC] Americans head to the polls on 3 November to decide how the rest of Donald Trump's presidency will play out.Thousands of races are taking place across the US, at different levels of government. But the main event for voters will be electing members of …
Yahoo Entertainment · October 13, 2026
GOP Could Flip Michigan Senate Seat for First Time in Nearly 50 Years
Republicans have a shot at a Michigan Senate seat that Democrats have held since 1979, and three weeks before Election Day on November 3 the race between former Representative Mike Rogers and Democrat Abdul El-Sayed is close. The seat is open because Democrat…
Biztoc.com · October 12, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗