Robb Ryerse
Major-party general-election nominee.
Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Major-party general-election nominee.
Incumbent representative for AR-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AR-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Every election in Arkansas's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

President Donald Trump and Republican Party leadership's complacency on a looming financial crisis has some members of the GOP caucus hitting the panic button.According to a report from Politico, Social Security, always a hot-button subject for both parties, …
President Donald Trump’s push for the SAVE America Act has created a new battle over voting rights, and even some Republicans are questioning whether the proposal goes too far. Supporters say it is designed to protect election integrity, while critics argue t…

A joke has been making the rounds among House Republicans about Mike Johnson.The GOP House speaker relies so heavily on President Donald Trump to whip votes and manage his fractious caucus that Trump is, for all practical purposes, running the House himself, …

Republican Arkansas Rep. Steve Womack announced the death of his wife of 41 years, Terri Womack, on Tuesday.
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗