Democratic
James Russell
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Bruce Westerman favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+39.7
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+38.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Bruce Westerman
Incumbent representative for AR-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AR-4. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AR-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Fair Health Care for Every American Southwest Arkansas Radio
Rep. Bruce Westerman (AR-04) Oftentimes, Washington overcomplicates simple issues that can be met with fiscally responsible, long-term solutions that lower costs and provide real result
Southwestarkansasradio.com · May 17, 2026
Secretary of the Interior Has No Idea How Solar Power Works
The secretary of the interior should presumably know how solar power generation works. On Wednesday, Doug Burgum showed that he does not.Burgum was testifying before the House Natural Resources Committee, and exposed himself under questioning from Democratic …
The New Republic · May 13, 2026
In 'Major Earth Day Win,' House GOP Cancels Vote on Gutting Endangered Species Act
Republican leadership in the US House of Representatives planned to mark Earth Day with a "catastrophic" attack on the Endangered Species Act, but ultimately canceled Wednesday's vote at the last minute, a development celebrated by conservationists nationwide…
Common Dreams · April 22, 2026
Mike Johnson to Unleash 'Catastrophic' Attack on Endangered Species Act
Conservationists warned Monday that "Earth Day could become Extinction Day" if Republican leaders in the US House of Representatives get their way.Elected Republicans have long set their sights on the historic Endangered Species Act of 1973—and wildfire defen…
Common Dreams · April 20, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗