VotePredictor
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Arizona District 3 election, 2026

Yassamin Ansari vs. Republican nominee TBD.

VotePredictor forecast
Yassamin Ansari favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+54.8
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+42.8
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Alan Aversa · No Labels
  • David Redkey · Green

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AZ-3. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AZ-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Arizona's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: AZ-2 · AZ-4