Democratic
Sam Liccardo
Incumbent representative for CA-16. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 16 election, 2026
Sam Liccardo vs. Peter Soulé on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Sam Liccardo favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+57.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+48.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Peter Soulé
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-16. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-16; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
What Dems Really Think About the NYT’s DNC Report
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · July 28, 2026
Bay Area Democrats Demand Answers on DACA Renewal Backlog
Bay Area lawmakers, including Sam Liccardo and Nancy Pelosi, are pressing federal immigration officials over lengthy DACA renewal delays that have caused some California Dreamers to lose jobs, health insurance and deportation protections.
KQED · May 21, 2026
Bipartisan PACE Act Introduced To Expand Crypto Firms’ Access To Fed Payment Services
A new bipartisan bill introduced on Tuesday would give many fintech and crypto payment providers a clearer path to the US payment infrastructure. The new measure, called the Payments Access and Consumer Efficiency (PACE) Act, is designed to create a national…
newsBTC · April 21, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗