Democratic
Ted Lieu
Incumbent representative for CA-36. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 36 election, 2026
Ted Lieu vs. Houston Brignano on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Ted Lieu favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+46.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+40.42026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Houston Brignano
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-36. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-36; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 36th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
California's Governor Wants Worker Protections from AI. But FSF Thinks Kill Switches are 'Dangerous Precedent'
The Guardian reports that California governor Gavin Newsom signed laws on Wednesday "aimed at protecting California workers from the threats of artificial intelligence , including potential job losses and workplace surveillance." The laws ban employers from u…
Slashdot.org · October 3, 2026
'Stand With the People': Progressive Caucus Leader Calls on All Democrats to Reject AI Billionaire Cash
The chair of the Congressional Progressive Caucus on Wednesday urged all Democrats to reject campaign cash from billionaires whose wealth stems from the artificial intelligence industry, following news that the president of OpenAI abandoned plans to donate mi…
Common Dreams · October 1, 2026
MAGA schooled as Dem launches public war on sleeping Trump: 'Your facts are wrong'
Rep. Ted Lieu (D-CA) fired a barrage of near-identical replies to MAGA accounts that defended Secretary of State Marco Rubio Monday, all built around a single argument: President Donald Trump is not the hardest-working president in history.The California Demo…
Raw Story · September 29, 2026
Dems urge tech CEOs to send 'rogue agents' reports
Democratic House representatives Josh Gottheimer of New Jersey, Valerie Foushee of North Carolina, and Ted Lieu of California called on the CEOs of OpenAI, Anthropic PBC, Google LLC, Meta Platforms In...
Biztoc.com · September 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗