Democratic
Ted Lieu
Incumbent representative for CA-36. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 36 election, 2026
Ted Lieu vs. Houston Brignano on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Ted Lieu favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+41.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+39.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Houston Brignano
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-36. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-36; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Protecting Workers From AI Is Easier Said Than Done
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · Yesterday
Trump Official Crashes Out When Asked About Depleted U.S. Munitions
Mike Waltz, the U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, blamed the Biden administration Sunday for depleting the country’s weapons stockpile—but then denied reporting that the country’s weapons stockpile was depleted. Appearing on NBC News’s Meet the Press, Wa…
The New Republic · July 27, 2026
A rogue AI hacked Hugging Face. Now Congress wants a kill switch.
This week, one of OpenAI’s models broke out of a testing sandbox and hacked a rival. Congress has a reply: build a kill switch, and let the government use it. On Thursday, Reps. Ted Lieu, a California Democrat, and Nathaniel Moran, a Texas Republican, introdu…
The Next Web · July 24, 2026
ChatGPT’s Daring Escape Forces Dems to Pick a Path on AI Legislation
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · July 24, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗