Democratic
Ted Lieu
Incumbent representative for CA-36. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 36 election, 2026
Ted Lieu vs. Houston Brignano on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Ted Lieu favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+42.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+40.42026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Houston Brignano
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-36. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-36; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 36th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Beaten-down reps make futile Trump admission as they flee DC
WASHINGTON — Will President Donald Trump be more empowered now that Speaker Mike Johnson gaveled the U.S. House of Representatives out of session until after November’s elections? Not necessarily, according to congressional Democrats who are bracing for what …
Raw Story · September 19, 2026
Rep. Ted Lieu pushes for AI regulation: "Humans must be in control of AI, not the other way around"
With greater frequency these last few months, artificial intelligence models are acting in unexpected and alarming ways. Democratic Rep. Ted Lieu of California joins "The Takeout" to discuss what congressional regulation could look like.
CBS News · September 17, 2026
Rep. Ted Lieu Furious Mike Johnson Refused To Hold AI Kill Switch Bill Vote
Speaker Johnson abruptly sent his members home today for a seven week recess ahead of the midterm elections in an effort to dodge voting on the impeachment of Pete Hegseth and a new bipartisan A.I. Kill Bill The House just came back from a five-week recess o…
Crooksandliars.com · September 17, 2026
‘Yikes!' CNN anchor alarmed by lawmaker's warning about brewing 'apocalypse'
CNN anchor Boris Sanchez was visibly unsettled Wednesday after Rep. Ted Lieu (D-CA) offered a grim picture of what could happen if humans lose control of artificial intelligence. The moment came during an appearance on “CNN News Central,” where Lieu rejected …
Raw Story · September 16, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗