Democratic
Ted Lieu
Incumbent representative for CA-36. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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California District 36 election, 2026
Ted Lieu vs. Houston Brignano on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Ted Lieu favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+47.4
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+40.42026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Houston Brignano
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-36. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Ted LieuDEM · incumbent$2.2M raised
Spent $1.7MCash on hand $1.2MDebts $100k2% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- TED LIEU VICTORY FUND$330k
- LIN, TAO$21k
- AMDUR, SAMUEL$7k
- BILLS, STEVEN$7k
- BLOOMFIELD, BILL$7k
Industries
- Unemployed$134k
- Retired$113k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$88k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$87k
- Technology & Communications$83k
States
- CA$459k
- NY$104k
- IL$55k
- FL$51k
- MA$50k
Houston BrignanoREP$7k raised
Spent $6kCash on hand $1kDebts $2k-39% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$4k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$3k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$1k
- Retired$970
- Homemaker$520
States
- CA$10k
- TX$70
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-36; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in California's 36th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Trump mocked for shielding his ‘gold-plated midlife crisis’ with post-election order
President Donald Trump's newest effort to cement his White House makeover drew a wave of ridicule from critics who say it reeks of hypocrisy.Trump on Thursday signed a proclamation aimed at locking the Oval Office and Cabinet Room into their redesigned states…
Raw Story · November 6, 2026
Lieu jumps in
Rep. Ted Lieu of California announced a run for House Democratic Caucus chair in a letter to colleagues Thursday. "I am now running for Chair of the Caucus because I want to work with all of you to seize the opportunity the American people just gave us," he s…
Biztoc.com · November 5, 2026
'He's a fraud': Furious Trump unleashes Election Day attack after Dem's jab
President Donald Trump lashed out at Rep. Ted Lieu (D-CA) on Election Day, insisting he was only joking about renaming the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool after himself following the Democratic lawmaker’s criticism. “Lightweight Congressman Ted Lieu, one of …
Raw Story · November 3, 2026
Ted Lieu Pushes Congress to Act as NSA Warns of Critical Cyber Vulnerabilities: ‘We Need More Cybersecurity…
Rep. Ted Lieu urges cybersecurity education as NSA warns PHP flaws could expose systems and data amid rising AI-driven threats.
Biztoc.com · October 22, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗