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Toss-up · 2012 House
California House
In the 2012 California House race, Raul Ruiz (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.9
Final polls said
D+6.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Research Partners | D+6.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | R+17.0 | 22.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Lake Research Partners2012-10-210
Public Policy Polling2012-10-135
Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates2012-10-1023
Lake Research Partners2012-10-033
Public Policy Polling2012-09-129
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California House race?
Raul Ruiz (D) won, by about 5.9 points (D+5.9).
When was the 2012 California House election held?
It was held in November 2012.