← all past elections
Toss-up · 2012 House
California House
In the 2012 California House race, Raul Ruiz (D) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
D+5.9
Final polls said
D+6.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lake Research Partners | D+6.0 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2 | Public Policy Polling | D+1.0 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 3 | Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates | R+17.0 | 22.9 | ✗ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Lake Research Partners2012-10-210
Public Policy Polling2012-10-135
Arthur J. Finkelstein & Associates2012-10-1023
Lake Research Partners2012-10-033
Public Policy Polling2012-09-129
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2012 California House race?
Raul Ruiz (D) won, by about 5.9 points (D+5.9).
When was the 2012 California House election held?
It was held in November 2012.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.