VotePredictor
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California District 39 election, 2026

Mark Takano vs. Steve Manos on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Mark Takano favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+30.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+9.8
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Steve Manos

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for CA-39. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for CA-39; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in California's 39th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

These Places Already Tried a 32-Hour Workweek. Here's What Happened

A proposal to make the 32-hour workweek the new federal standard is back before Congress, renewing debate over whether Americans could work fewer hours without taking a pay cut. Last week, independent Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Democratic Represent…

Biztoc.com · September 15, 2026
Could the US workweek drop to 32 hours? New Congress bill backed by Bernie Sanders and Mark Takano could change overtime rules

A new bill proposes gradually reducing the US overtime threshold to 32 hours as U.S. Rep. Mark Takano, D-California, and Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vermont, introduced a bill in Congress this week that would reduce the workweek to 32 hours. Lawmakers argue work h…

The Times of India · September 12, 2026
New Bill Proposes 32-Hour Work Week—Here’s How It Would Work

A new bill in Congress would move the United States toward a 32-hour standard workweek, with supporters arguing that workers should benefit from productivity gains linked to artificial intelligence and automation. The Thirty-Two Hour Workweek Act, introduced …

Freerepublic.com · September 11, 2026
Mike Johnson battered in Dem victory speech as key GOP bill crashes in House

Washington, D.C. — House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) came out swinging at Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) as Republican leaders were embarrassingly forced to pull a bipartisan veterans bill from the floor Thursday after another revolt from Johnson’s ri…

Raw Story · July 16, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: CA-38 · CA-4